NBA - 713 Utah Jazz @ 714 Sacramento Kings
Projected Line: 191 points | Utah by 5 points
This is a back to back game for both teams, as they faced each other in Utah last night. The Jazz lost Mo Williams early in the game and so, it was normal to see them struggle. They shot just 3-15 3pts! However, they had a big edge on boards by grabbing 60% of the rebounds! That edge on boards plus the free throws gave them the win on a tough game. Utah scored 31 fast break points, shot 7-9 FG in transitions and they had a reasonable post up game with 7-17 FG, but they really struggled on spot ups. Sacramento was close to win this game due to their rare great game from the outside, as they shot 10-17 from 3pts! However, their ball movement was a still poor, with just 21 assists for 40 FG made! Sacramento had 5 players on the court for over 30 minutes (DeMarcus Cousins, Jason Thompson, Aaron Brooks, Tyreke Evans and John Salmons), while the Jazz had just 3 players (Al Jefferson, Marvin Williams and Jamaal Tinsley). Tonight's game will be the third game in four nights for the Kings, while Utah had three nights off before last night's game, so they will be on a better spot tonight.
Sacramento was competitive last night due to their good outside shooting, but we can't count on them to have two good games from the perimeter in a row! They have a low assist ratio and their ball movement isn't good enough to give them enough open looks for them to be a good and consistent team on their perimeter shooting. Utah won yesterday's game due to their bench edge, with Gordan Hayward and Derrick Favors, so the way they dominated Sacramento yesterday is much easier to repeat tonight than the Kings repeating their good outside shooting game.
Utah will dominate the boards and with Mo Williams doubtful for tonight, the Jazz will also defend better, as Jamaal Tinsley is a much better defender than Mo Williams plus the team passes the ball better with Tinsley on the court as well. A proof of that is the fact that Tinsley dished 12 assists in just 31 minutes last night! Both teams will be a bit tired tonight as this is a back to back game, so I expect the pace of tonight's game to be lower than last night's. I believe Sacramento will struggle on their perimeter shooting tonight and with that, they will clearly regress offensively, helping this game in being a low scoring game. On the other hand, Utah is much more consistent on the inside and I expect them to use their rebounding and roster depth edges to win tonight's game. Therefore, I'll be taking both Utah and the Under tonight.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 713/714 Under 195,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 713 Utah Jazz (-1,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
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