Tuesday, November 27, 2012

NBA Premium Play 11/26: Denver Nuggets @ Utah Jazz


NBA - 711 Denver Nuggets @ 712 Utah Jazz

Projected Line: 194 points

Denver is currently living their best moment of the season and this has been due to a great interior defense. In fact, they are at the top of the league in that stat by allowing just 57% FG at the rim and only 54% FG on their last seven games! This is vital on a game against Utah's frontcourt, as without Mo Williams, Utah has a poor outside shooting and this puts a lot of pressure on their frontcourt players to carry the team's offense. But with Denver defending well at this area, they will struggle on offense tonight.

Denver will be playing a back-to-back game tonight and their third game in five nights, so this is a bad spot for them. They have been very inconsistent on their outside shooting, so they will have a lot of pressure on their frontcourt players to perform well. I expect this game to be quite physical and with neither team playing well on offense tonight, so I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 711/712 Under 198,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes

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