Thursday, November 29, 2012

NBA Premium Play 11/28: Minnesota Timberwolves @ Los Angeles Clippers


NBA - 721 Minnesota Timberwolves @ 722 Los Angeles Clippers

Projected Line: 187 points

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

The Clippers' defense has been struggling lately in stopping the outside shooting of their opponents and that was very clear on their last game against the Hornets. New Orleans has no inside game whatsoever, but we all know that they can shoot well from the outside. With Ryan Anderson at the PF position, their whole game was based on get drive and kicked for treys repeatedly. The Clippers' frontcourt was planted near the basket and they simply gave too much space to the Hornets' shooters. New Orleans had poor shooting numbers, expect their ridiculous 15-25 3pts! 

This won't happen tonight against Minnesota, as the Wolves have Nikola Pekovic and Kevin Love, so the Wolves' offense will try to pound the Clippers down low. However, this style of the Wolves' offense will help the Clippers' frontcourt defense as well. Minnesota is coming from a nice win at Sacramento last night, mostly due to their inside game with 18-28 FG at the rim and 5-10 FG from 3-9 feet, while they struggled on the outside. Both Kevin Love and Andrei Kirilenko played more than 40 minutes last night, so they won't be fully fresh tonight. 

The Clippers' offense hasn't been at a good level lately, with their bench also struggling. Minnesota's defense will have problems in defending Chris Paul, but with Minnesota's tough interior defense limiting the Clippers' frontcourt, it won't be easy for the Clippers to have a good offensive game tonight, as they have lost most of the offensive flow they showed early on the season. I expect a relatively low scoring game in here and so, I'll be taking the Under on a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 721/722 Under 194 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes

No comments:

Post a Comment