Sunday, November 25, 2012

NBA Premium Play 11/24: Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors


NBA - 715 Minnesota Timberwolves @ 716 Golden State Warriors

Projected Line: 190 points

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

Golden State won at Minnesota last week, with a great game of their frontcourt, as they crushed the boards with 17-11 on offensive rebound edge, while grabbing almost 59% of the rebounds! David Lee, Harrison Barnes, Festus Ezeli and Carl Landry all had good offensive games, while the Warriors scored 58 points at the paint and shot 22-31 FG at the rim and 6-10 FG from 3-9 feet. But there's a big difference for tonight's game: Nikola Pekovic and Kevin Love are back into the Wolves' lineup, so Golden State won't have the easy night on the frontcourt tonight that in their last game against the Timberwolves. 

The Warriors are coming from a loss at Denver last night, where they got crushed in the second half, as the Nuggets were much more aggressive than them. That forced Golden State to foul 30 times, while allowing Denver to score 58 points at the paint and shoot 25-37 FG at the rim! On the other hand, Golden State was a finesse team with 11-25 FG from 16-23 feet and 7-17 3pts!

Minnesota is coming from a loss in Portland and they are currently with identity issues now that Kevin Love is back, but not at 100% to carry the team for the whole game. The Wolves crushed Portland on the boards by grabbing 61% of the rebounds, but they were very poor from the outside with 4-10 FG from 16-23 feet and 3-18 3pts! Minnesota also struggled on the post up plays, something that is explained from the fact that Nikola Pekovic and Kevin Love shot a combined of 10-28 FG, while showing that they aren't at 100% from their injuries right now.

The Wolves is used to grab a good number of offensive boards, but that is unlikely to happen tonight, as Golden State is a good defensive rebound team. Minnesota will struggle from the outside, while Golden State will struggle on the inside against the Wolves' powerful frontcourt, something that will put a lot of pressure on their backcourt to shoot well from the perimeter on a back to back game, after having played in the altitude of Denver last night. This isn't a good spot for neither team offensively and therefore, I'll be taking the Under in here on a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 715/716 Under 197 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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