Saturday, November 24, 2012

NBA Premium Play 11/23: Oklahoma City Thunder @ Boston Celtics


NBA - 505 Oklahoma City Thunder @ 506 Boston Celtics

Projected Line: 193 points

I don't like Oklahoma City's spot for tonight. They had a physical game against the Clippers last Wednesday that went to overtime, with Kevin Durant playing 47 minutes and Russell Westbrook 42 minutes. The Thunder have been shooting well from the perimeter, but sometimes they lose their identity with no ball movement and with their offense being very stagnant  with Russell Westbrook running the offense on his own and I'm afraid this will happen tonight. 

Boston is coming from a terrible defensive game against San Antonio, where they couldn't stop Tony Parker's double penetrations. Westbrook can also make the Celtics struggle tonight, but he is less assertive than Parker and especially, while the skilled Spurs' frontcourt players pounded Boston down low, Kendrick Perkins has zero offensive skills and he won't be able to do anything on offense against his former team. Serge Ibaka may have some edge on offense, but he doesn't have the same offensive skills as Tim Duncan or Tiago Splitter. I believe the Celtics will have a defensive bounce back on a slow paced game, as Doc Rivers won't want to run against the young Thunder team. Therefore, I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 505/506 Under 197 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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