NFL Week 3 Free Premium Play 09/23: New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins

NY Jets  at Miami

Play: Single Dime Play on Under 41

Comments: NFL Week 3 - 411 New York Jets @ 412 Miami Dolphins Projected Line: 37 points I expect this game to have very little quality on the offensive end because let's face it, these two teams are clearly better on defense than on offense. Miami is coming from a rare very good offensive game, where Reggie Bush had a huge game and completely ran over the poor Raiders defense. I clearly don't expect something similar to happen today against the Jets, as not only the NY team has one of the best run defenses in the league (they had issues in week 1 in stopping CJ Spiller, but the guy looks possessed right now), as Reggie Bush will surely be tired from having such a huge effort last week, where he had 26 carries on his own. I know Daniel Thomas will be back in the Dolphins backfield to share the carries with Bush, however it seems clear to me that Thomas won't be at 100% today and so, I don't expect Miami's running game to have a positive performance today. In terms of the passing game, not only the Jets have one of the best pass defenses in the league, as Ryan Tannehill looks still a bit far from being NFL ready and even last week where he faced the lowly Raiders, he had just an average performance with 18/30 200yds 1TD 0INT. Now against a much better and much more aggressive Jets defense, I can only expect Tannehill to struggle like he did in week 1 against Houston. However, I don't believe the Jets will be much better on offense than Miami today. After a super offensive game in week 1, where they took advantage of some turnovers and special teams plays to score 48 points against Buffalo, they went back to Earth in week 2 and scored just 10 points against the Steelers. Mark Sanchez struggled big time, the running game was also quite poor and the Jets finished the game with very little offensive production. I know the Dolphins defense isn't as good as the Steelers defense, however they are a very solid all-around defense against both the passing and the rushing, therefore I can totally see them putting both Mark Sanchez and the Jets poor running game in trouble today. It seems clear to me that neither team will have a good number of offensive big plays today due to lack of talent on offense and good talent on defense, therefore I expect this game to turn into a typical divisional game, with a lot of physical play and also with both teams investing a lot on their running game to prevent any kind of terrible play from their quarterbacks, who aren't exactly trustworthy right now. Therefore, I expect this game to be a low scoring one and so, I'll be taking the Under in here. Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 411/412 Under 41 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker