Sunday, September 16, 2012

NFL Week 2 Free Premium Play 09/16: Washington Redskins @ St Louis Rams

  
Washington  at St Louis 
 
 
Play: Single Dime Play on Under 43,5
Comments:

NFL Week 2 - 217 Washington Redskins @ 218 St Louis Rams

Projected line: 40 points


I expect the Rams offense to struggle today, mostly due to their Offensive Line being back to a horrible level. With Scott Wells in the Injury Reserve and with Rodger Saffold also out for today, the Rams' OL will be back to the poor level that made them the most sacked team in the league last season. Washington has an overall decent defense barring their secondary, but Sam Bradford has been unable to make big plays, so I believe the Redskins will be able to put a lot of pressure on Bradford, while also limiting St Louis' running game in this contest.

On the other hand, I also expect a letdown from Griffin's amazing performance last week against the Saints. He won't have Pierre Garcon on the field today and their receiving corps lacks quality to compensate such absence in the field. The Rams seem to be an improved defensive team from last season with Jeff Fisher as head coach and without the massive number of injuries on defense that they had last season, so I expect them to be able to limit Washington's passing game and also their running game which is quite average.

I expect the Rams to try to make this game a very physical contest, with a lot of running plays. I believe St Louis will struggle so much on the Offensive Line that they won't be able to do anything special on offense today, while the Rams have a decent defense and they should be able to limit Griffin on a letdown spot. Therefore, I expect a low scoring game in here and so, I'll be taking the Under.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 217/218 Under 43,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker 

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