Wednesday, September 26, 2012

MLB Premium Card 09/25

MLB - 975 Cleveland Indians @ 976 Chicago White Sox

(Starting Pitchers: D. Kluber vs F. Liriano)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 975/976 Under 9 (w/ D. Kluber & F. Liriano) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker





MLB - 951 Washington Nationals @ 952 Philadelphia Phillies

(Starting Pitchers: R. Detwiler vs C. Hamels)

Philadelphia will start Hamels tonight, who has been a top 3 SP in the league since he signed a new contract. So, I believe he should be able to handle the Nationals offense well tonight. On the other hand, Washington will start Detwiler, who is coming from back to back quality outings and he is very good against left handed batters, something that makes him a good matchup against Philadelphia, as the Phillies are loaded with LH batters on their lineup. With Philadelphia also being demotivated after two losses in a row, I expect Detwiler to have a good outing today. With both pitchers dominating, I expect this game to be a low scoring one and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 951/952 Under 7 (w/ R. Detwiler & C. Hamels) @ +100 / 2.00 on 5Dimes



MLB - 953 Miami Marlins @ 954 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: N. Eovaldi vs K. Medlen)

Atlanta will start MLB's best pitcher nowadays tonight, but he won't go deep tonight to save him for the Playoffs. But we have the Braves good bullpen rested after a day off, so this should be no problem for them. Both pitching are coming from great outings against the same opponent they'll face tonight, however while Medlen should have no problems in repeat similar numbers to the shutout he gave Miami in eight innings, I don't believe Eovaldi will be able to perform the same shutout in eight innings he had against Atlanta, as he is allowing .328 BA, 4.97 FIP and 5.34 xFIP against LH batters and Atlanta has good LH hitters.

I don't believe Atlanta will waste this opportunity of getting revenge over Eovaldi, as prior to that start, he had struggled against the Braves with six earned runs and eight hits allowed in just two innings. At the same time, both Medlen and Atlanta's bullpen should have no problems in dominating the Marlins offense, therefore I'll be taking Atlanta on the Runline today.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 954 Atlanta Braves RL -1.5 (w/ K. Medlen) @ -130 / 1.77 on 5Dimes



MLB - 955 Milwaukee Brewers @ 956 Cincinnati Reds

(Starting Pitchers: M. Fiers vs J. Cueto)

This is a game that if it had been played weeks ago, I would have taken the Under for sure, but both pitchers are now slumping. Fiers will start for Milwaukee and after dominating his opponents, he is now fade material. On his last start, he allowed three runs in just three innings, while needing 81 pitches to have just nine outs, while striking out just two batters. Fiers would very rarely walk batters in August, but he has already walked ten batters in four outings in September. Cincinnati rested their starters Sunday and had a day off yesterday, so they will be ready to pound the struggling Fiers today.

Cincinnati will start Cueto and he has also struggling now, after looking like a Cy Young award contender. He is coming from a shutout in Chicago against the Cubs, but the five hits allowed and a 2/4 K/BB ratio doesn't impress at all, while the Brewers offense is much better than the Cubs offense. Milwaukee's roster is hitting .267 BA and .787 OPS against Cueto and so, I expect them to put him in trouble tonight once again. With both pitchers struggling against two good offenses, I'll be taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 955/956 Over 7.5 (w/ M. Fiers & J. Cueto) @ -115 / 1.87 on 5 Dimes



MLB - 963 Los Angeles Dodgers @ 964 San Diego Padres

(Starting Pitchers: J. Beckett vs E. Volquez)

San Diego is a good matchup for Beckett, as he is flyball pitcher and he will be pitching tonight in the pitcher friendly park of San Diego. He hasn't faced the Padres since 2007 and so, he will have a clear surprise factor working for him tonight as well. His last two starts were against top teams and he allowed just three earned runs in Washington and one earned run at home against St Louis plus his advanced numbers are better than his ERA, so he should be able to have a very good outing tonight.

The Padres will start Volquez and he keeps dealing with a blister on his thumb. If he has already natural problems on his command, these problems only get worse with the blister. He is naturally coming from a bad start in Arizona, where he allowed four earned runs in six innings. The Dodgers know him well and their roster is hitting .311 BA and .892 OPS against him, so I expect him to struggle tonight. With Beckett having a good matchup and Volquez prone to struggle, I expect an easy win for the Dodgers tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 963 Los Angeles Dodgers ML (w/ J. Beckett) @ -115 / 1.87 on 5Dimes



MLB - 969 Kansas City Royals @ 970 Detroit Tigers

(Starting Pitchers: B. Chen vs A. Sanchez)

NOTE: No writeup for this contest

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 969 Kansas City Royals RL +1 (w/ B. Chen) @ +111/ 2.11 on Pinnacle



MLB - 973 Oakland Athletics @ 974 Texas Rangers

(Starting Pitchers: T. Milone vs S. Feldman)

No way Feldman deserves to put a team like Oakland at +143! This is the same Feldman that had outings against the Athletics, where he allowed four earned runs and nine hits in five innings and eight earned runs and seven hits in just 1.2 innings! Therefore, I believe Oakland is a valuable underdog tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 973 Oakland Athletics ML (w/ T. Milone) @ +143 / 2.43 on 5Dimes



MLB - 979 Seattle Mariners @ 980 Los Angeles Angels

(Starting Pitchers: R. Ramirez vs Z. Greinke)

The Angels will start Greinke, who is now in excellent form after a rough start in LA. He is coming from six consecutive starts where he allowed two or less runs and on his last start, he was brilliant against Texas with one earned run allowed in eight innings, while having a super command of 8/0 K/BB ratio. He hasn't faced Seattle since 2010, so he will have a surprise factor working on his favor against the lowly Mariners offense, so this should be a very dominating outing for him.

Seattle will start Ramirez, who came back in September and had two excellent starts in Toronto and then at home against Baltimore. He went deep in both games with seven and eight innings played, while showing a good command with 6/0 and 6/1 K/BB ratio. He has been excellent against RH hitters by allowing just .180 BA and 3.07 FIP, so against a LA lineup full of righties, I expect him to be a tough matchup for the Angels. Therefore, I expect a game with both pitchers dominating and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 979/980 Under 7 (w/ R. Ramirez & Z. Greinke) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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