Wednesday, September 19, 2012

MLB Premium Play 09/18: Atlanta Braves @ Miami Marlins


MLB - 907 Atlanta Braves @ 908 Miami Marlins

(Starting Pitchers: P. Maholm vs N. Eovaldi)

Miami will start Eovaldi tonight and he has been terrible lately, with a 5.62 ERA on his last three starts. He lacks any kind of strikeout ability and he also struggles against LH hitters. He will face Atlanta tonight, who is a much better offense against RH pitchers like Eovaldi and they will have seven batters hitting from the left side tonight on their lineup. 

The Braves will start Maholm, who after a great start for Atlanta is now regressing to his normal level. He is coming from a terrible outing in Milwaukee, where he allowed eight runs in 4.1 innings. He has bad numbers against Miami, with .295 BA and .724 OPS against the Marlins roster in 149 AB's. 

Looking at the struggles that both starting pitchers will have tonight, I'll be taking the Over in here. As I believe the Braves will have a clear edge on the bullpen and a much better offense (especially with Stanton not playing tonight), I'll be also taking Atlanta in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 907 Atlanta Braves RL -1 (w/ P. Maholm) @ -125 / 1.80 on 5Dimes
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 907/908 Over 8.5 (w/ P. Maholm & N. Eovaldi) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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