(Starting Pitchers: M. Estrada vs J. Zimmermann)
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 902 Washington Nationals ML (w/ J. Zimmermann) @ -135 / 1.74 on 5 Dimes
MLB - 903 Pittsburgh Pirates @ 904 New York Mets
(Starting Pitchers: K. McPherson vs J. Meija)
This will be McPherson's second start and he looked very good on his first start against Milwaukee, where in a tough spot for him against a top offensive team, he showed nerves of steels and allowed seven hits but just two earned runs. He will be facing the Mets tonight, who are coming from a home sweep against the Marlins, a divisional rival, so they will be on a letdown spot tonight. With McPherson showing good potential and with the surprise factor helping him, I believe he will have another quality outing tonight.
The Mets will be starting Meija, who has been terrible in the MLB, as he keeps struggling every time he has a opportunity to pitch in a MLB game. On his first start in Milwaukee, he allowed five earned runs and six hits in three innings, while having a ridiculous 0/5 K/BB ratio! The Pirates might be slumping, but they are coming from a nice win in Houston yesterday and they should have enough offense to cause problems to Meija. With McPherson also looking prone to have a good outing tonight, I see a lot of value on the Pirates and I'll be taking them in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 903 Pittsburgh Pirates ML (w/ K. McPherson) @ -105 / 1.95 on 5Dimes
MLB - 905 St Louis Cardinals @ 906 Houston Astros
(Starting Pitchers: L. Lynn vs F. Abad)
Milwaukee lost earlier today, so the Cardinals have a good chance to increase their distance in the wild card race today. After a huge slump, Lynn has been solid lately and he is coming from four starts in a row without allowing a single homerun. His last start was also against Houston and Lynn had a good outing with zero earned runs and three hits allowed, while having a 5/2 K/BB ratio.
Houston's offense continues to struggle and the fact that Jose Altuve won't be in their starting lineup tonight won't help that to change.
The Astros will start Abad, who had his last start against the Cardinals and he was good with six hits and three earned runs allowed, while having a good command (6/0 K/BB ratio). However, I doubt he will as good tonight as he was in that outing, as the surprise effect is gone and St Louis will be at 100% tonight, ready to pound another LH pitcher like they've been doing a lot this season, as they are a top hitting team against LH pitchers. Abad is yet to go deeper than five innings on his outings and Houston's bullpen is poor, so I believe the Cardinals offense should also be able to cause problems to them as well.
I believe this should be an easy game for St Louis, with Lynn confirming his good form against a poor Astros offense, while St Louis should dominate both Abad and Houston's bullpen. Therefore, I'll be taking the Cardinals on the Runline tonight.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 905 St Louis Cardinals RL -1.5 (w/ L. Lynn) @ -125 / 1.80 on 5Dimes
MLB - 909 Kansas City Royals @ 910 Detroit Tigers
(Starting Pitchers: L. Hochevar vs J. Verlander)
Detroit lost a golden chance yesterday to jump into first place in the AL Central by losing both games in a doubleheader against Minnesota, so they are coming to this game in a bounce back spot with their ace Verlander in the mount. This will also be a revenge game for Verlander, who was crushed on his last start against Kansas City, where he allowed eight earned runs and twelve hits in just 5.2 innings! It was one of those games where Verlander really didn't have it, but he has been impressive lately with two shutouts against Oakland and Cleveland on his last two starts. Therefore, I expect him to get revenge over the Royals and completely dominate them tonight.
The Royals will start Hochevar, who after a huge outing in Tampa Bay went back to mediocrity, with bad control and prone to allow homeruns. Detroit are a top offensive team against RH pitchers, so they will pound him tonight, like they've already done it this season with nine earned runs and twelve hits in just four innings! Detroit's is hitting .337 BA and .937 OPS in 208 AB's against Hochevar, therefore I expect Detroit to pound him tonight, which combined with Verlander's domination, should result in a blowout win for the Tigers, so I'll be taking them on the Runline today.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 910 Detroit Tigers RL -1.5 (w/ J. Verlander) @ -125 / 1.80 on 5Dimes
MLB - 917 New York Yankees @ 918 Minnesota Twins
(Starting Pitchers: A. Pettitte vs L. Hendriks)
This will be Pettitte's second start since he came back from the DL. On the first start, he did a good job against Toronto, where he allowed two earned runs and four hits in five innings, while having a 3/2 K/BB ratio. However, this was against the Blue Jays, who are dead last in OPS over the last 30 days with .644! For today, I expect him to struggle more against the Twins, who are coming from a sweep yesterday in the doubleheader at Detroit. They are now taking the spoiler role well and they are fired up for tonight as well. Their roster is hitting .273 BA and .741 OPS in 77 AB's against Pettitte, therefore I believe they should put him in some trouble today.
Minnesota will start Hendriks, who has been struggling but is also coming from his first win of the season. However, he still had a 2/2 K/BB ratio in that outing, so this says a lot about his quality. The Yankees had their problems on offense, but they've bounced back recently and they are now back in being a top offensive team, therefore I expect them to pound Hendriks today.
With Pettitte prone to struggle a bit today and Hendriks prone to really struggle, I believe this game will be a high scoring game and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 917/918 Over 9 (w/ A. Pettitte & L. Hendriks) @ -120 / 1.83 on Bookmaker
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