Sunday, September 30, 2012

MLB Premium Play 09/29: San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres


MLB - 963 San Francisco Giants @ 964 San Diego Padres

(Starting Pitchers: M. Bumgarner vs E. Stults)

San Francisco will use their usual lineup, with nobody resting and they have been hot lately with .798 OPS over the last 30 days. They'll be facing San Diego, who is on a mini slump after a hot stretch. The key in here is to check that both pitchers are coming from starts where they faced the same teams, with Bumgarner having one more day of rest than Stults. While I believe Bumgarner should have another good outing against the Padres, after allowing just two earned runs in 5.2 innings while having a 6/1 K/BB ratio last week, I don't expect the same thing to happen to Stults.

Even though Stults had a good outings against the Giants with just three earned runs allowed in six innings, I expect San Francisco to get revenge over him tonight. This will be third start that Stults will have against San Francisco in a month and a half and the truth is that the Giants are hitting .408 BA and .986 OPS against him. Therefore, I expect Stults to be pounded by the Giants again, while Bumgarner should have another quality outing against the slumping Padres. So, I'll be taking San Francisco tonight in a comfortable win for them.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 963 San Francisco Giants ML (w/ M. Bumgarner) @ -134 / 1.75 on Betonline

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