Sunday, September 30, 2012

MLB Premium Play 09/29: New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves


MLB - 955 New York Mets @ 956 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: C. Young vs M. Minor)

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

Atlanta lost yesterday a game where they faced Niese, who was a bad matchup for them, as they keep struggling against LH pitchers and Niese is indeed in very good form right now. Today things should be very different, as even though Young has been having a solid month of September, he struggles against LH batters with .287 BA, 5.92 FIP and 6.50 xFIP. This bodes well for the Braves top lefty hitters, especially when Atlanta is hitting .296 BA and 1.003 OPS against him. Young has already faced Atlanta twice this season and he struggled in both games by allowing a homerun in each game, besides walking 4 and 3 batters. So, this is definitely a bad matchup for him and so, I expect Young to struggle today.

On the other hand, Minor has a good matchup today, as the Mets also struggle against LH pitchers and after a poor start of the season, he has been very good lately, with 0, 0, 1 and 2 ER allowed on his last four games, with games against Philadelphia, Washington and Milwaukee on his last three outings. Minor wants to secure a place in the rotation for the playoffs, he is motivated and so, I expect him to dominate the Mets tonight. With Young struggling, I believe Atlanta will therefore have a comfortable win tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here. Double Dime Play!

NOTE: Also available on 5Dimes at -142 / 1.71

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 956 Atlanta Braves RL -1 (w/ M. Minor) @ -137 / 1.73 on Pinnacle

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