Tuesday, September 25, 2012

MLB Free Premium Play 09/25: Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres


  
LA Dodgers  at San Diego   


MLB - 963 Los Angeles Dodgers @ 964 San Diego Padres


(Starting Pitchers: J. Beckett vs E. Volquez)


San Diego is a good matchup for Beckett, as he is flyball pitcher and he will be pitching tonight in the pitcher friendly park of San Diego. He hasn't faced the Padres since 2007 and so, he will have a clear surprise factor working for him tonight as well. His last two starts were against top teams and he allowed just three earned runs in Washington and one earned run at home against St Louis plus his advanced numbers are better than his ERA, so he should be able to have a very good outing tonight.


The Padres will start Volquez and he keeps dealing with a blister on his thumb. If he has already natural problems on his command, these problems only get worse with the blister. He is naturally coming from a bad start in Arizona, where he allowed four earned runs in six innings. The Dodgers know him well and their roster is hitting .311 BA and .892 OPS against him, so I expect him to struggle tonight. With Beckett having a good matchup and Volquez prone to struggle, I expect an easy win for the Dodgers tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.


Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 963 Los Angeles Dodgers ML (w/ J. Beckett) @ -115 / 1.87 on 5Dimes

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