Friday, September 28, 2012

MLB Premium Card 09/27

MLB - 951 Milwaukee Brewers @ 952 Cincinnati Reds

(Starting Pitchers: W. Peralta vs M. Latos)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 
952 Cincinnati Reds RL -1 (w/ M. Latos) @ -125 / 1.80 on Pinnacle



MLB - 953 Pittsburgh Pirates @ 954 New York Mets

(Starting Pitchers: K. Correia vs R. Dickey)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 
954 New York Mets RL -1.5 (w/ R. Dickey) @ +105 / 2.05 on 5 Dimes
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 953/954 Over 7 (w/ 
K. Correia & R. Dickey) @ -120 / 1.83 on Betonline



MLB - 967 Oakland Athletics @ 968 Texas Rangers

(Starting Pitchers: T. Blackley vs M. Harrison)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 
968 Texas Rangers RL -1.5 (w/ M. Harrison) @ -105 / 1.95 on Bookmaker



MLB - 959 Washington Nationals @ 960 Philadelphia Phillies

(Starting Pitchers: G. Gonzalez vs T. Cloyd)

***TRIPLE DIME PLAY - Split the wager***
The Washington Nationals have still some interesting motivation for this contest: they are looking to clinch home court advantage through the NL while Gio Gonzalez is a potential candidate for the CY young award.

Gonzalez is having a stellar season and he is a tough matchup against left handed hitters: FIP = 2.68 & xFIP = 2.65.  The majority of the Phillies best hitters are LH and no wonder Philadelphia struggled against Gonzalez this season: 3 contests with Gonzalez allowing 3, 0 and 1 ER. His BA against PHI is a steady .239 mark so for tonight we have a good matchup working favorably for Washington.

On the other side, the Phillies will send T. Cloyd to the mound and I expect him to struggle big time against the Nationals. He is a clearly fly ball pitcher w/ 50.6% FB%/rate vs. 30.9% GB%/rate & 18.5 LD%/rate and this is a dangerous combination against a power hitting team like the Nationals as in the L30 days stats, WAS is #1 in ISO w/.202 and #1 in HR/FB rate w/17.5% ! Cloyd is coming from a nice outing @ NYM but the Phillies gave him a huge lead since the start (the game was “over” in the first inning with PHI leading 8-0) so he had no problems in managing the game against a demoralized team. Against the Nationals the story will be different and I see the Nationals having the edge in both the SP matchup & offense as well.

Pick: 3 units on 959 Washington Nationals ML (w/ G. Gonzalez) @ -132 / 1.75 on 5 Dimes
Pick: 2 units on 959 Washington Nationals Over 4 runs @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline

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