NBA - 709 Boston Celtics @ 710 New York Knicks
Projected Line: 199 points
The last game between these two teams had just 185 points and fortunately for us, we won our Under play due to a 16-16 final quarter score, where the Celtics used some weird lineups and the Knicks slowed down the pace as much as they could to keep their lead in the game. Boston is currently playing super undersized due to Kevin Garnett's absence due to injury. They played with that style against the Knicks, but they showed no offensive flow whatsoever in that game. I remember watching them playing with Avery Bradley, Jordan Crawford and Jason Terry together on the backcourt! Since then, they've played two other games and their pace was simply absurd: 98.1 against Cleveland and 94.9 against Atlanta. This is especially absurd, as their season average pace factor is 90.0! We can expect the Celtics to impose once again a fast tempo on their game, as Doc Rivers can't use any other style on his team with his available players, as also the Knicks is on a similar situation where Kenyon Martin is the only available frontcourt player.
The Knicks's offense seems to be back with J.R. Smith being red hot lately. They are also being very aggressive on offense, something that used to be rare for them during this season: 50, 36 (vs Memphis) and 48 points in the paint on their last three games. It will be very hard for Boston to shutdown the Knicks's offense on their current form, especially without Kevin Garnett. I expect an up tempo game dictated by Boston, but with the Celtics being more ready on offense to face the Knicks than they were last Tuesday. Therefore, I'll be taking the Over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 709/710 Over 195,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
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