NBA - 763 Los Angeles Lakers @ 764 Minnesota Timberwolves
Projected Line: LA Lakers by 1 point
The Lakers will be playing tonight without Metta World Peace, so they will use an undersized starting backcourt formed by Kobe Bryant, Jodie Meeks and Steve Nash. This will be a good matchup for Minnesota, who also uses a 3-guards rotation on their starting lineup. With the Lakers's defense being lazy and having no foot speed, Minnesota's guards will be able to attack off the dribble, while having good edges on pick and roll ball handler plays and transitions on tonight's game. Minnesota will also have another clear edge on turnovers, as the Lakers are very prone to commit them and the Wolves have been very good on pressuring the opposing ball handler and then easily score on fast breaks.
Even though the Lakers easily defeated the Wolves in the first two games of the season, the truth is that I don't expect the same to happen tonight. The first contest was weird, as Minnesota had better FG% number than the Lakers but got completely outrebounded by the LA team. On the second contest, Andrei Kirilenko didn't play and Nikola Pekovic got injured and played just 9 minutes, so the Timberwolves couldn't be competitive. This time, I expect the Wolves to take advantage of the Lakers's poor backcourt defense to torch them with their small ball, turning this game into a very competitive one. Therefore, I'll be taking Minnesota tonight.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 764 Minnesota Timberwolves (+5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bovada
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