Saturday, March 30, 2013

NBA Free Premium Play 03/30: Chicago Bulls @ Dallas Mavericks

  
Chicago  at Dallas 
NBA - 501 Chicago Bulls @ 502 Dallas Mavericks

Projected Line: 93 points FIRST HALF


We have a weird early game on a Saturday afternoon. Dallas is coming from a game against a top defensive team, where they got completely shutdown by the Pacers, while they were also outrebounded by grabbing just 39.5% of the rebounds in that game. The Mavericks will host another good defensive team in the Bulls today. O.J. Mayo is also injured on his shoulder and he is questionable for today, This means that Vince Carter will have to play more minutes and he will have a tough matchup against a good defender like Jimmy Butler.

I believe Dallas will be better prepared today to be physical since the start of the game, unlike what it happened on their Thursday game against Indiana. Chicago is coming from a big home win against Miami, where they showed a lot of hustle, but they won't have an easy spot today, as they had just 1 day off between games, they had to make a considerable trip and they will play early in the day today. They will be facing a Dallas team that struggles on defense at the PG position, but Kirk Hinrich isn't a great threat to the Mavs's defense.

On the other hand, Dallas may have some edge on transitions today, but the Bulls with Kirk Hinrich and Jimmy Butler as their starting backcourt is a much better transition defensive team than they have been with Nate Robinson and Marco Belinelli. The Bulls's 3pts defense is amazing and so, Dallas will struggle in having a good outside shooting game just like they struggled against the Pacers on their last game. I believe both teams will show a lot of intensity early on, while the bad spot for both teams will make both offenses struggle early in the game. Therefore, I'll be taking the Under on the First Half of today's early game.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 501/502 Under 96,5 FIRST HALF @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes

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