NBA - 775 Sacramento Kings @ 776 Golden State Warriors
Projected Lines: 217 points | Golden State by 6 points
The Warriors are coming from an excellent home win against the Lakers, but where for the second game in a row they disappeared during the fourth quarter. The Lakers's defense offered the Warriors's offense a dream matchup, as they were able to do whatever they wanted with their guards: 9-19 FG and 0.95 PPP on pick and roll ball handler plays; 1.12 PPP on spot up plays; 7-8 FG and 1.50 PPP on cuts! The good news for Golden State in that game was that their poor perimeter defense wasn't exposed by the Lakers, who dished just 17 assists during the whole game!
The main difference for tonight's game is that Sacramento will be a much tougher opponent on offense than the Lakers were last Monday night. The Kings have been shooting extremely well from the perimeter and they will exposed the Warriors's poor perimeter defense without much trouble, especially on a letdown spot for Golden State. DeMarcus Cousins is coming from a poor game against Philadelphia where he shot just 3-9 FG, so I believe he will bounce back today and he has a good matchup to do it as well.
I expect this contest to be a fast paced game, with both teams taking advantage of their good offense and their opponent's poor defense to have great offensive games. Therefore, I expect this contest to be a pure shootout and so, I'll be taking the Over in here. On the other hand, I don't trust Golden State to cover blowout lines, as their defense isn't good enough to allow them to have big wins most of the times. Sacramento is a good offensive team and they'll clearly outplay Golden State's defense tonight, especially with the Warriors being on a clear letdown spot after their big win over the Lakers. Therefore, I'll be taking the Kings in here as well.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 775/776 Over 213 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 775 Sacramento Kings (+9) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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