Saturday, March 30, 2013

NBA Premium Play 03/29: Los Angeles Clippers @ San Antonio Spurs


NBA - 867 Los Angeles Clippers @ 868 San Antonio Spurs

Projected Lines: 194 points | San Antonio by 1 point

San Antonio was able to beat Denver at home on their last game, but that happened by just one point in a game where it was clear that we weren't in front of the dominant Spurs that we have been used to watch all season long, excluding on these last few games. It's almost incredible how the Spurs weren't able to crush Denver, considering the fact that they shot 10-15 3pts against a Nuggets team that couldn't hit a single three-pointer: 0-10 3pts! That happened because San Antonio keeps committing a lot of turnovers, as for the third game in a row they committed 18 or more turnovers, while they are being constantly outrebounded and their second unit isn't dominating nobody anymore. 

The Clippers is in a good spot tonight to explore these problems of the Spurs. Eric Bledsoe is back and the Clippers are playing more aggressively on the defensive end, while the LA team is also one of the best rebounding teams in the league. But the key matchup in tonight's game will be between Chris Paul and Tony Parker. On the last game between these two teams, Tony Parker dominated Chris Paul, in a excellent performance of the French player who had 12-16 FG, 31 points and 7 assists in just 28 minutes, while Chris Paul had 1-6 FG, 3 assists and 3 turnovers! Chris Paul is probably the most competitive player in the league and he will make tonight's matchup against Tony Parker very personal. Unfortunately for the Spurs, Parker is still banged up and so, I expect Paul to get the upperhand on this great PG duel this time around.

I expect tonight's game to be a very close one. Even though the Spurs have been struggling on offense, their defense has been impeccable since their disastrous defensive performance on their home game against Cleveland. They are protecting the paint very well, while Tim Duncan looks like a 26 years old player! The same can be said about the Clippers. DeAndre Jordan is being more active, so we can expect this contest to be a tight game with a playoff atmosphere between two great defenses. Therefore, I'll be taking both the Clippers and the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 867/868 Under 197,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 867 Los Angeles Clippers (+4) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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