Tuesday, March 19, 2013

NBA Premium Play 03/18: Golden State Warriors @ New Orleans Hornets


NBA - 517 Golden State Warriors @ 518 New Orleans Hornets

Projected Line: 192 points

We have a good opportunity to cash on the Under on this contest, as we have an overrated line in here. Both teams played last night and both had to travel to play tonight's game. Even though Golden State had a blowout win at Houston last night, the game was so important for the Warriors that coach Mark Johnson used Stephen Curry for 45 minutes, Klay Thompson 42 minutes, David Lee 35 minutes and even Andrew Bogut played 33 minutes! Of course Golden State will have a letdown today, especially as they are a jump shooting team. The good news for us is that New Orleans will definitely set their usual very slow pace and so, the Warriors won't have a lot of chances to score in transition. 

The Hornets are coming from a ball game at Minnesota yesterday, so Eric Gordon won't play tonight, as he doesn't play back to back games. Without him, the Hornets's backcourt has limited talent available for tonight. The first two games between these two teams were high scoring games, but played at a really slow pace. The efficiency on the offense was the key in both games, something that I really doubt it will happen today, considering the spot of both teams. Therefore, I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 517/518 Under 196 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bovada

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