NBA Free Premium Play 03/26: New York Knicks @ Boston Celtics

New York  at Boston

NBA - 651 New York Knicks @ 652 Boston Celtics Projected Line: 188 points The Knicks are 3-0 on their last three games, but what has really caught my attention on their last games was their incredible slow pace lately! The NY team generally plays at a slow pace, but 85.34, 81.87, 83.50, 84.35 and 86.42 on their last five games is ridiculously slow! The Knicks commit a low number of turnovers, as they don't take any risks on offense. They have no presence on down low, so their offense is based on jumpers. Just take a look on their shot locations on their last five games: %Rim   %Short   %Mid   %Long  %3P 0.18      0.07        0.04       0.18      0.28 They are also having close to 20% volume on isolation plays, while more than 25% of their plays are spot ups. Now looking to their matchup tonight against Boston, things won't be easy for the Knicks's offense. First of all, their transition game is almost non-existent and this is the only area where Boston's defense isn't good this season. Boston is playing without Kevin Garnett, but the Knicks don't have anybody on offense who can pound the Celtics down low. Boston is an elite 3pts defense team with just 30.6% 3pts allowed on their last 10 games. Same goes for Boston's excellent defense on isolations and spot ups, so the Knicks won't have any edge on offense tonight on a pure halfcourt game, they will struggle tonight. On the other side, the Celtics are certainly attacking a bit more on transitions lately with 11, 22, 14, 17 and 18 fast break points on their last five games. However, the Celtics's bread and butter on offense keeps being their long-range jumpers, an area where the Knicks's defense has considerably improved lately. Therefore, I expect this contest to be a slow paced game, with both teams having problems on offense. We have all the necessary ingredients to have a low scoring game in here and so, I'll be taking the Under tonight. Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 651/652 Under 192 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes