NBA Free Premium Play 03/24: Denver Nuggets @ New Orleans Hornets

Denver  at New Orleans

NBA - 607 Denver Nuggets @ 608 New Orleans Hornets Projected Line: Denver by 10 points The big news for this game is that Greivis Vasquez won't play tonight due to an ankle injury and that's a massive blow for the Hornets. Without him, Denver won't have problems in forcing turnovers, an area where the Hornets have been struggling lately even with Vasquez playing, as they have committed 20, 14, 20 and 17 turnovers on their last four games! New Orleans is coming from two big wins over Boston and Memphis, however they only won these two games due to a massive edges on boards, as they grabbed 60.5% and 58.6% of the rebounds in those two games! The Hornets had great spots for those games as they were on a home span, while Boston was coming from a brutal game against Miami and had no legs to play on the second half, where they scored just 12+19 points. The same happened with Memphis, who had played a brutal home game against Oklahoma City, where they only won it on overtime. Matchup wise, the Nuggets have great news for tonight. New Orleans's transition defense is terrible with 1.27 PPP allowed since the All Star break. Even two teams who aren't known for scoring in transition, Boston and Memphis, scored 14 and 16 fast break points against them! The Hornets's lack of muscle down low has been also exposed lately by their opponents, something that will definitely happen tonight once again against Denver. The Hornets's pick and roll ball handler defense has been also horrible and Ty Lawson has a great spot tonight to have a big game. Basically Denver has an excellent spot to have a huge offensive game tonight. On the other side, the Hornets's offense will struggle without their starting PG, who will miss tonight his first game this season! New Orleans's offense is dependent from Vasquez's pick and rolls and they will struggle without him on this area, besides the high number of turnovers that they'll certainly commit tonight. Of course the Hornets will attack the rim looking for offensive rebounds and Ryan Anderson might have a good 3pts shooting game, but Denver will be much more stable tonight than they were on their last two games, as they will have Ty Lawson and Wilson Chandler back. Denver won the first two games of the season against New Orleans by double digits, while scoring 25 and 21 fast break points plus 58 and 62 points in the paint. I expect something similar to happen tonight and so, I'll be taking the Nuggets in here. Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 607 Denver Nuggets (-7) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker