NBA - 765 Indiana Pacers @ 766 Houston Rockets
Projected Line: 193 points
Houston has been improving on defense lately and this has been noted on several areas. They are having better defensive numbers on FG%'s allowed, while they are also rebounding better on their own basket. Meanwhile, they are also taking their opponents to the free throw line less times. Their transition defense is also improving a lot lately and they have allowed just 8, 6 and 7 fast break points on their last three games! They will now face a Pacers team that would be a horrible matchup for them if David West was playing, but without him the Rockets's defense should be able to do a nice job today.
Without West, Indiana's offense is a lot more predictable. To make things worse for them, George Hill is also banged up and so, only Paul George has the skills and the physical condition to have a good offensive game tonight. On the frontcourt, Roy Hibbert should also have a tough matchup against Omer Asik. On the other side, Indiana's defense is a tough matchup for Houston's offense who has a super volume of their shots at the rim and from the 3pts line, two areas where the Pacers's defense is an elite team. The Pacers are also #1 in the league on transition defense and #4 on isolation defense, so they have indeed the perfect defense to stop the Rockets's offense tonight. On a matchup between a top offensive team and a top defensive team, I believe Indiana will make a great defensive job, while struggling on offense, so I expect this game to be a low scoring game. Therefore, I'll be taking the Under in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 765/766 Under 197 @ -115 / 1.87 on Bovada
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