NBA - 869 Brooklyn Nets @ 870 Denver Nuggets
Projected Line: 200 points | Denver by 3 points
Since Denver managed to get a big win at Oklahoma City last week, they haven't been showing their normal levels of intensity in both ends of the floor. They are being still competitive and they could have won their last game at San Antonio, but they aren't even dominating the lowly teams anymore. This has been visible with their 1-point and 6-points home wins over Philadelphia and Sacramento respectively and especially, on their huge blowout loss at New Orleans who was missing Greivis Vasquez in that game. There are several reasons for the Nuggets to be struggling right now. Perhaps the biggest one is the fact that their perimeter shooting has been declining, as when a team shoots 30% FG from 16-23 feet and 28% 3pts on their last five games, it's hard for them to dominate their opponents like they used to do in early-March!
Projected Line: 200 points | Denver by 3 points
Since Denver managed to get a big win at Oklahoma City last week, they haven't been showing their normal levels of intensity in both ends of the floor. They are being still competitive and they could have won their last game at San Antonio, but they aren't even dominating the lowly teams anymore. This has been visible with their 1-point and 6-points home wins over Philadelphia and Sacramento respectively and especially, on their huge blowout loss at New Orleans who was missing Greivis Vasquez in that game. There are several reasons for the Nuggets to be struggling right now. Perhaps the biggest one is the fact that their perimeter shooting has been declining, as when a team shoots 30% FG from 16-23 feet and 28% 3pts on their last five games, it's hard for them to dominate their opponents like they used to do in early-March!
For this specific matchup against the Nets, Denver would be in theory a very tough matchup for Brooklyn, as the Nets's defense struggles against great transition teams due to their slow footed backcourt. This is why the Nuggets were able to be competitive at Brooklyn earlier on the season, even though they were on a terrible spot at the time, as they were playing their final game of a road trip and they were also shorthanded. The Nets just couldn't stop Ty Lawson due to his speed and he ended that game with 8-11 FG and 9 assists. The problem for Denver is that Ty Lawson will be out of tonight's game and so, the Nuggets lose most of their transition skills without their quickest player on court. This will put Andre Miller as the team's starting PG and he lacks the speed to pound Deron Williams on defense. On the other hand, Danilo Gallinari is also banged up and he is currently struggling in both ends of the floor because of that.
As if that wasn't enough for the Nuggets, Brooklyn is also playing some great basketball lately. Their frontcourt is so physical that I don't expect to see Denver's frontline having their usual dominance at the rim and I wouldn't be surprised at all if Brooklyn is actually able to dominate the boards battle on this contest. Kostas Koufos is just an average defender and so, I expect Brook Lopez to own him tonight with his post up moves. JaVale McGee should also have problems to stop Lopez due to his lack of discipline. Kenneth Faried will also have a tough time against Reggie Evans, who is simply dominating the boards with some insane rebounding numbers!
Denver may be a machine at home, but I believe they will happy tonight if they just managed to win tonight's game. Brooklyn seems to be in much better form right now than them and the Nets should also have a good number of matchup edges tonight. Therefore, I'll be taking Brooklyn tonight. As I expect to see Denver to struggle on offense, I don't expect this game to be a high scoring one and so, I'll be taking the Under in here as well.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 869/870 Under 204 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 869 Brooklyn Nets (+6,5) @ -105 / 1.95 on Bovada
Denver may be a machine at home, but I believe they will happy tonight if they just managed to win tonight's game. Brooklyn seems to be in much better form right now than them and the Nets should also have a good number of matchup edges tonight. Therefore, I'll be taking Brooklyn tonight. As I expect to see Denver to struggle on offense, I don't expect this game to be a high scoring one and so, I'll be taking the Under in here as well.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 869/870 Under 204 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 869 Brooklyn Nets (+6,5) @ -105 / 1.95 on Bovada
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