NBA Free Premium Play 03/31: Toronto Raptors @ Washington Wizards

Toronto  at Washington

NBA - 701 Toronto Raptors @ 702 Washington Wizards Projected Line: 196 points I believe we have a good value on the Over on this contest, even though we are in front of two teams who have been under machines. John Wall is the key for the Wizards and the team has been more competitive lately due to Wall's great offensive performances. However, the Wizards's defense has been regressing a lot. They are still an elite defensive team if we look at their season numbers (averaging an overall defensive rating of 104.5), but they have been struggling as of late on defense (defensive rating of 109.7 over their last five games). They have been especially regressing on pick and roll ball handler defense, while their transition is also getting poorer, as they have allowed 13.2 fast break points per game over their last five games. Toronto's offense is far from being an elite unit due to their lack of ball movement, but the good news for them is that the Raptors are now trying to attack more the basket, instead of being an one-dimensional jump shooting team. Over their last six games, Toronto has been averaging 50 points in the paint and therefore, I actually expect them to have a decent offensive game tonight. On the other side, Washington's offense will have John Wall, who will put the Raptors's defense in trouble with his speed. Toronto's defense has been struggling in stopping the transition games of their opponents, while their perimeter defense has been atrocious. So, no wonder that they've allowed 50-118 (42%) 3pts to their opponents over their last six games. Washington relies a lot on their perimeter shooting especially on home games, where they have been playing much better on offense, and therefore I expect them to have a good offensive game today. I see this game being a high scoring game and so, I'll be taking the Over in here. Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 701/702 Over 192,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline