NBA - 609 Philadelphia 76ers @ 610 Utah Jazz
Projected Line: 188 points
This game will be played on a poor spot for both teams, as Utah will be playing their third game in four nights, after having played an overtime game at San Antonio last Friday and at Dallas last night, while Philadelphia will play their last game of their road trip, after having finally won a road game at Sacramento last night. Philadelphia may actually show some offense early on the game with their nice backcourt offense, however they will eventually collapse offensively on such poor spot. They depend a lot from Jrue Holiday and he had played 43-43-41-33-38-39 minutes on the team's last six games! Holiday is also shooting just 42.2% FG and averaging 4.1 turnovers per game on back to back spots.
The Sixers attempt a lot of 16-23 feet jumpers and so, when they struggle physically due to poor spots, they tend to miss these tough jumpers and eventually score a low number of points. They looked very good last night against the Kings with 14-19 FG at the rim, 18-35 FG from 16-23 feet and 8-21 treys, but no way they will be able to repeat such performance tonight on a poor spot for them. With Philadelphia having so much volume of offense on long jumpers, they will heavily struggle on offense tonight, especially because they aren't aggressive and so, they don't shoot a lot of free throws and don't grab offensive rebounds as well. So, they have no chance of scoring a lot when they don't make their jumpers.
On the other side, Utah is also on a tough spot for tonight. They are coming from two tight games against the Spurs and the Mavericks, in two contests where they've shown no identity on offense. There is a lot of indefiniteness on the rotations and the bench players never know if they're playing 30 minutes or 5 minutes on a given night. Philadelphia is a decent defensive rebounding team and even their rim defense isn't poor. Their problem is generally their lack of fresh legs to rotate on the wings and make good close outs, but Utah isn't the kind of team that can explore Philadelphia's problems on their perimeter defense, as their outside shooting is poor. Therefore, I expect this contest to be a low scoring game and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 609/610 Under 192 @ -105 / 1.95 on Bovada
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