Wednesday, February 27, 2013

NBA Premium Play 02/26: Milwaukee Bucks @ Dallas Mavericks


NBA - 511 Milwaukee Bucks @ 512 Dallas Mavericks

Projected Line: Dallas by 2 points

Dallas likes to set a frenetic pace on their games, but Milwaukee will be a very tough matchup in tonight's game, especially because Larry Sanders is finally healthy. Dallas likes to push up the pace in order to be competitive, they have quick guards who like to attack in transition and obviously they have Dirk Nowitzki as a stretch PF who spreads the floor. This is exactly what happens with the Bucks as well, where Brandon Jennings, Monta Ellis and J.J. Redick are quick guards, while Ersan Ilyasova can knock down jumpers from long range.

The big difference is that Dallas doesn't have a big player who can protect the basket the way Larry Sanders can for Milwaukee and this will be a huge edge for the Bucks tonight. Milwaukee has lost their last three games, but all these losses were very close: they lost by two points in overtime at Brooklyn, they lost at home against Brooklyn as well by 3 points and finally, they lost at home against Atlanta by 1 point in the final seconds of the game. Dallas's in-game inconsistency has been a huge problem for them and I think this will happen once again tonight, something that will allow the Bucks to be very competitive tonight. Therefore, I'll be taking Milwaukee in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 511 Milwaukee Bucks (+5,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline

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