NBA Free Premium Play 02/11: Brooklyn Nets @ Indiana Pacers

Brooklyn  at Indiana

NBA - 707 Brooklyn Nets @ 708 Indiana Pacers Projected Line: 179 points Brooklyn showed once again yesterday against San Antonio that their offense is super stagnant. Brook Lopez started the game very well and helped his team in dominating the game during the first quarter, but as soon as the Spurs's defense picked up their intensity level, Brooklyn's offense was clueless and scored just 29 points during the second half! They will play at Indiana tonight and the worst thing that they can happen to a stagnant offense like the Nets is to face a top defensive team on a poor spot and this is exactly what will happen to Brooklyn today. The Pacers have a great interior defense and so, they should be able to limit Brook Lopez tonight, while they are also very good in defending isolation plays, so this is definitely a game where Brooklyn's offense is likely to get shutdown from the beginning until the end of the contest. The only thing that will help Brooklyn tonight is the fact that the Pacers are a half court team and so, they won't explore the Nets's terrible transition defense. Indiana also lacks a guard with super skills on dribble penetrations, so the Nets's slow guards won't get outplayed tonight like they were last night by Tony Parker. On the previous game between these two teams, Brooklyn won a relatively tight contest at home, but where Indiana was very competitive until the end of the fourth quarter. The Pacers were able to keep themselves in the fight for the win due to an excellent interior defense (Brook Lopez 5-14 FG, Reggie Evans 1-2 FG and Andray Blatche 1-8 FG for a combined of 7-24 FG), as the Nets only shot 11-23 FG at the rim and 4-19 FG from 3-9 feet! During the fourth quarter, Brooklyn made some adjustments and put Lopez further from the basket and decided to investing on Deron Williams's penetrations, something that allow them to have a 17-0 run during the fourth quarter. However, its important to notice that Indiana was on a back to back spot at the time, something that isn't happening today, so I believe they will be able to guard Deron Williams well, especially as he has been struggling as of late. I expect this contest to be a slow paced game as that's the style of both teams, with the Nets's stagnant offense being completely limited by Indiana's great defense, while the Pacers's offense should also struggle in here, as their outside shooting has been great lately, but sooner or later they will regress on this area as well, as they don't really have great shooters on their roster. Therefore, I expect a super low scoring game in here and so, I'll be taking the Under. Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 707/708 Under 183 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes