NBA - 701 Atlanta Hawks @ 702 Orlando Magic
Projected Line: 209 points
***NBA FIRST HALF GOY - TRIPLE DIME PLAY***
We have on this game the perfect spot, matchup and mindset for a shootout. This is the last game for both teams before the All Star break and so, it's important to try to know what will be the mindset of both teams. From Orlando, it's easy to understand it. They are now healthy, just with Glen Davis out for the season and this has been like that in their last two games, where we took the Over and won them easily. The Magic's key players Jameer Nelson, Arron Afflalo and J.J. Redick are all connected to trade rumors and so, they aren't focused on defense, but just in improving their offensive numbers.
“Orlando with their best players available is a decent offensive team, but their effort on defense is basically non-existent, as they are all involved in trade rumors and they are putting all their effort on having good offensive performances nowadays, in order to pad their numbers”
This was exactly what happened against Portland! The Magic had a tremendous ball movement with 34 assists and just 10 turnovers. They shared the ball pretty well and consistently fed their big men for easy points for a season high of 60 points scored in the paint! Even against the tired Blazers, Orlando allowed Portland to be competitive thanks to a good offensive game with 50.6% FG, 10-27 3pts and 31 assists! That's remarkable considering Damian Lillard had a terrible game with 1-16 FG! If we don't count Lillard's shots, the rest of the Blazers shot 42-67 (63%) FG! Orlando's lack of effort on defense has been visible with their poor transition defense, as they have allowed 20, 17, 20 and 11 fast break points on their last four games. It has also been very easy to score on the inside against Orlando. Nikola Vucevic, Andrew Nicholson and Gustavo Ayon are very far from forming a decent defensive frontcourt, so no wonder that Orlando has allowed their opponents to shoot 30-40 (75%) FG at the rim on their last two games!
Atlanta's offense has some flaws, but when they play games in which they are allowed to run, they can be devastating! On their last game at Dallas, they played one of those games, with Atlanta pounding Dallas with 26 fast break points and 11-16 FG in transition plays! Atlanta had a ton of easy layups and that allowed them to shoot 19-26 FG at the rim! Orlando's lack of effort on defense will be well explored by the Hawks's offense with their terrific transition game. I expect Jeff Teague and Devin Harris to have another great offensive game tonight while pushing up the pace all game long.
On the other hand, the Hawks's perimeter defense has been a disaster lately by allowing 42% FG from 16-23 feet and 45.5% 3pts and these are good news for a jump shooting team like Orlando. This will be the third game between these two teams this season and the first two games were super low scoring games, in which Atlanta won both games by 81-72 and 86-80. However, these two games were played under some special circumstances In the first game, Jameer Nelson and J.J. Redick had a flu bug and they were questionable to play that game until the last moment. They ended up playing, but they shot a combined of 4-15 FG and had just 2 assists and 4 turnovers! On the second game, the spot was horrible for both teams, as Atlanta was coming from two physical games at Memphis and Miami and they were finishing their road trip in that game at Orlando. On the other side, Orlando was coming home after a 5-games road trip on the West Coast. For today, everything is different. Orlando had 2 days off to rest and they are coming from a home game, while Atlanta will play their second game in 5 days, so both teams are in a nice spot for tonight.
Therefore, we have every condition possible in here for this game to be a very high scoring game. So, I'll be taking the Over in here in a Triple Dime Play - my NBA First Half Game of the Year!
On the other hand, the Hawks's perimeter defense has been a disaster lately by allowing 42% FG from 16-23 feet and 45.5% 3pts and these are good news for a jump shooting team like Orlando. This will be the third game between these two teams this season and the first two games were super low scoring games, in which Atlanta won both games by 81-72 and 86-80. However, these two games were played under some special circumstances In the first game, Jameer Nelson and J.J. Redick had a flu bug and they were questionable to play that game until the last moment. They ended up playing, but they shot a combined of 4-15 FG and had just 2 assists and 4 turnovers! On the second game, the spot was horrible for both teams, as Atlanta was coming from two physical games at Memphis and Miami and they were finishing their road trip in that game at Orlando. On the other side, Orlando was coming home after a 5-games road trip on the West Coast. For today, everything is different. Orlando had 2 days off to rest and they are coming from a home game, while Atlanta will play their second game in 5 days, so both teams are in a nice spot for tonight.
Therefore, we have every condition possible in here for this game to be a very high scoring game. So, I'll be taking the Over in here in a Triple Dime Play - my NBA First Half Game of the Year!
Pick: 5 units (Triple Dime Play) on 701/702 Over 197 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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