NBA - 517 San Antonio Spurs @ 518 Sacramento Kings
Projected Line: 213 points
The All Star Break was great for San Antonio, as they were in the middle of a road trip. On their last game at Cleveland, they had Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili back, but their offensive machine was fully oiled yet and so, the Spurs struggled a bit and only won the game down the stretch with a three pointer from Kawhi Leonard. For tonight, San Antonio will be rested and healthy, so I expect their offensive machine to be fully ready to pound the Kings tonight.
Sacramento has been playing at an insane pace lately, as their last four games had a pace factor of 96.88, 93.77, 95.10 and 97.09! The Kings have a deep roster and it seems that their current philosophy is to attack early on the shotclock and this is why they have scored 25, 16, 28 and 26 fast break points on their last four games! They are a very athletic team and so, I don't believe they will change their playing style for tonight's game, especially at home where they have the support of a crowd trying to make the Kings stay in Sacramento.
So, with the Spurs on a wide open game, we have an excellent spot for San Antonio's offense to shine against Sacramento's defense that has been regressing even more lately. They have the worst pick and roll ball handler defense in the league, so we can expect Tony Parker to have a monster game tonight and considering the surprisingly poor game that Tony Parker had in the previous game against Sacramento (1-5 FG and 4 turnovers), I expect him to bounce back big time tonight and crush the Kings's defense.
We have all the necessary conditions for a super high scoring game in here and so, I'll be taking the Over on this contest.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 517/518 Over 209 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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