Thursday, July 18, 2013

WNBA Premium Play 07/17: Atlanta Dream @ Los Angeles Sparks

WNBA - 603 Atlanta Dream @ 604 Los Angeles Sparks

Projected Line: LA Sparks by 14 Points

Atlanta played at Seattle without three of their key players and they were able to hang around until halftime. But then, of course, with their coach using basically only six players on the rotation, they had no legs during the second half.

"I thought for the personnel we have on the floor right now, we really generated a lot of energy." said Atlanta Coach Fred Williams. "But in the fourth quarter, we ran out of gas. We had some open shots but didn't put those down."

The Dream were missing Angel McCoughtry with a strained achilles, Sancho Lyttle and Tiffany Hayes. This is worrying for the Dream because they had 7 days off before their game at Seattle, but now the shorthanded Dream will be on a much tougher spot. Besides that, the game against the Storm was played at a really slow pace (70.0) and if they were tired with 7 days of rest and playing at a really slow pace, now imagine how tired they will quickly become on a fast paced game against the Sparks?

Atlanta's defense has been struggling on transition plays and if that wasn't exposed by the slow Storm (who scored just 4 fast break points), Minnesota took advantage of that with 23 fast break points, San Antonio 19 fast break points and Washington 25 fast break points! The Sparks are pure machines on transitions with 16.1 fast break points per game (#1 in the league) and they will pound Atlanta tonight. LA has been crushing everybody at home with an average score of 89.3-66.5 and they will face Atlanta on their worst moment of the season, shorthanded and with their best player banged up. Atlanta will only have Erika de Souza as a big offensive threat today, but with no help on the perimeter, she will also struggle. Therefore, I expect an easy blowout win for the Sparks tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick:3 units (Single Dime Play) on 604 Los Angeles Sparks (-10) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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