Friday, July 19, 2013

MLB Free Premium Play 07/19: Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays

  
Tampa Bay  at Toronto 
MLB - 965 Tampa Bay Rays @ 966 Toronto Blue Jays

(Starting Pitchers: D. Price vs E. Rogers)


We have Toronto being clearly underrated in here, especially regarding the pitching matchup. Since he returned from the DL, David Price allowed 2, 1 and 0 earned runs on his three starts. That seems really good, but he faced Houston twice and the White Sox! This means that he had the 4th easiest schedule for a SP on the last three starts! Price dominated struggling offenses that are also below the league average in K% and BB%. Now at Toronto, things will be much tougher for Price and I expect him to struggle a lot more tonight.

On the other hand, Esmil Rogers will start for the Blue Jays and he has been the best SP of the team for a while, with great advanced numbers (3.67 FIP + 3.38 xFIP)! He faced Cleveland, Detroit and Boston on his last three outings and these are exactly the three best offenses in the league! Rogers struggled against Detroit, but he dominated at Cleveland and Boston! With James Loney and Yunel Escobar out of Tampa Bay's lineup, I believe Toronto has a great chance to be highly competitive tonight and perhaps even win the game outright. Therefore, I'll be taking the Blue Jays on the runline in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 966 Toronto Blue Jays RL +1.5 (w/ E. Rogers) @ -135 / 1.74 on 5Dimes

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