WNBA - 653 Minnesota Lynx @ 654 Tulsa Shock
Projected Line: 156 points
This isn't a great spot for Minnesota, as they will play their fourth game in seven days. The Lynx's last game was a big emotional game for them. They played with a lot of revenge at Indiana due to last year's finals and after today's game, they won't play until July 19! Seimone Augustus is banged up and I wouldn't be surprised if she doesn't play today for precautionary reasons. This is a clear letdown spot for Minnesota, who has been quite inconsistent offensively this season, especially while playing on the road. They are averaging an offensive rating of 119.1 at home, but just 95.3 on the road! Tulsa is coming from one of their worst defensive games of the season against the LA Sparks, who was coming fired up for that game in order to pick up their first road win of the season. Things will be different tonight and so, I believe Minnesota won't be so dominant on offense in here.
On the other hand, I expect the Shock to struggle on offense tonight against the #4 ranked defense in the league. Their best player Glory Johnson left the team's last game against the LA Sparks with a neck injury and she is questionable for tonight. Also Tiffany Jackson-Jones played for the first time this season against the Sparks and she'll need time to get into game shape and to feel comfortable on the team's system. On the other side, Elizabeth Cambage will need to battle a lot tonight against a very powerful Lynx frontcourt. All these factors take me to believe that both teams will have subpar offensive performances in here and so, I'll be taking the Under on this contest.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 653/654 Under 160 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
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