Sunday, July 28, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/27: Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers

MLB - 979 Philadelphia Phillies @ 980 Detroit Tigers

(Starting Pitchers: R. Valdes vs M. Scherzer)

This match is a complete mismatch favoring Detroit. The Tigers will start Max Scherzer, who finally lost a decision right before the All Star break, but he bounced back very well at Chicago against the White Sox on his first start after the break with two earned runs allowed in eight innings, while having a great 5/0 K/BB command! Scherzer is a Cy Young contender and he should have no problems against the struggling Phillies' lineup. Philadelphia had a decent offensive run when they had four decent batters who were hitting from the left side on the lineup at the same time (Revere, Utley, Rollins and Brown), but with Brown and Revere injured, Philadelphia's offense collapsed and they are #26 in the league over the last 7 days!

On the other side, Raul Valdes will start for the Phillies, replacing Cliff Lee. He is a LH pitcher who will face a team that is #3 on hitting versus LH pitchers this season and #1 at home! After 21.1 innings played coming from the bullpen, Valdes has a poor 7.59 ERA with a BA above .300! I doubt that he will go deep in tonight's game, as he lacks stamina for that and he will struggle as well. Thanks to that, Philadelphia's poor bullpen (#28 in the league) will be exposed by the Tigers' top offense. Therefore, I expect a complete domination from the Tigers tonight and so, I'll be taking them on the runline in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 980 Detroit Tigers RL -1.5 (w/ M. Scherzer) @ -125 / 1.80 on Bookmaker

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