Projected Line: 148 points
I believe that we have in here a good matchup that will favor both offenses. These two teams are now playing better offense right now than they were earlier on the season. Tulsa is finally showing some decent chemistry between their great frontcourt of Glory Johnson and Liz Cambage, something that has been allowing them to dominate their opponents lately! The Shock are coming from a game against Atlanta where they scored 56 points in the paint, with Johnson and Cambage combining 17-24 FG, 47 points and 25 rebounds! For today's game, they will face one of the most undersized teams in the league and so, they should pound Indiana down low in here.
However, Indiana will also have some key edges on offense today. First of all, their defense is so aggressive that they lead the league in turnovers forced. Tulsa is a turnover-prone team (16.0% TO/rate), so the Fever should have an edge in here. Indiana is basically a jump shooting team that will have a good mismatch in here with Tamika Catchings playing at the PF position and as good as Tulsa's frontcourt is, they are slow and they struggle in defending quick players. So, it wasn't a surprise that on the first game between these two teams this season, a shorthanded Indiana team still scored 80 points, with Tamika dominating with 9-18 FG, 9-9 FT, 28 points, 5 rebounds, 3 assists and 6 steals! I expect a relatively good offensive game in here and so, I'll be taking the Over on this contest.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 651/652 Over 145 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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