Monday, July 29, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/28: Texas Rangers @ Cleveland Indians

MLB - 915 Texas Rangers @ 916 Cleveland Indians

(Starting Pitchers: A. Ogando vs U. Jimenez)

Ubaldo Jimenez will start for the Indians today and he is coming from a loss against Seattle, even though he allowed just two runs over 5.2 innings. However, Jimenez keeps walking too many batters to be impressive in any of his starts. He had a 6/4, 2/2, 4/2 and 3/5 K/BB ratio over his last four outings for a combined of 15/13 K/BB! Thanks to this, his pitch counts are always very high and he is struggling to even get to the sixth innings on his games nowadays. Of course by walking so many batters, Ubaldo is constantly in danger to getting pounded and even though he got away with it on his last game against Texas (1 earned run allowed with 4 walks in five innings), I don't believe he will be as lucky today.

Alexi Ogando will be Texas's SP for today and he is coming from a decent outing against the Yankees last Tuesday, where he allowed three runs in five innings. This was Ogando's return game after being on the DL due to a shoulder injury. Ogando has good numbers against LH batters with just .186 BA, .248 wOBA and 3.78 FIP, so he should be able to limit the damage against Cleveland today. Thanks to that, he has great numbers against the Indians' roster with just .143 BA and .396 OPS allowed in 42 AB's! With Ogando being decent today and with Jimenez struggling, I believe Texas should win today's game.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 915 Texas Rangers ML (w/ A. Ogando) @ -111 / 1.90 on 5Dimes

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