Saturday, July 20, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/19: Atlanta Braves @ Chicago White Sox

MLB - 979 Atlanta Braves @ 980 Chicago White Sox

(Starting Pitchers: T. Hudson vs J. Danks)

Atlanta is still banged up and they won't have both Upton brothers, Heyward and Freeman for tonight's game. They will face John Danks, who had some inconsistent starts after coming the DL, something normal, but he is now in cruise control once again. All his four starts were quality ones, according to my numbers. In fact, he faced the #1 team on hitting versus LH pitchers in Tampa Bay and Danks was able to have a decent outing with 3.86 ERA, 2.49 FIP and 3.89 xFIP. Therefore, I believe Danks will have another good outing tonight against the shorthanded Braves.

On the other side, Tim Hudson has been very inconsistent lately by alternating good starts with terrible ones. The only consistent trend is that he has been great at home with 2.83 ERA and .252 wOBA, but terrible on the road with 5.19 ERA and .333 wOBA! The White Sox's offense showed some signs of life right before the All Star break by winning two of the three games played at Detroit, while scoring 11, 5 and 6 runs. Even though they lost their last series before the break by 1-2, both losses happened in extra innings. I believe the White Sox have a lot of value as home underdogs tonight due to an edge on pitching and offense, so I'll be taking the White Sox in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 980 Chicago White Sox ML (w/ J. Danks) @ +110 / 2.10 on Bovada

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