Saturday, July 20, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/19: Chicago Cubs @ Colorado Rockies

MLB - 961 Chicago Cubs @ 962 Colorado Rockies

(Starting Pitchers: J. Samardzija vs J. De La Rosa)

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

Colorado struggled during the last few days prior to the All Star break. Their offensive production collapsed and their offensive rankings over the last 14 and 30 days aren't good. But then again, it's tough to be productive on offense without three key players: Dexter Fowler, Carlos Gonzalez and Troy Tulowitzki. The good news is that these three players are now fully recovered and they played already on the last game before the break, where they had 11 hits (.314 BA) against the red hot Ricky Nolasco. The Rockies will face Jeff Samardzija, who is struggling right now. He was a top pitcher in terms of control early in the season, but he is currently with a poor 1.14 ratio in July, while having 5/3, 3/5 and 5/2 K/BB ratios on his last three starts. Now at Colorado, on a hitter-friendly park, against the Rockies on a good spot, I believe Samardzija will heavily struggle tonight.

Jorge De La Rosa will start for Colorado tonight and he has been super consistent lately. De La Rosa improved this season behind a great groundball rate of 47.1% that has been allowing him to have an awesome 6.7% HR/FB rate, something remarkable considering he plays half of his games at Colorado! I expect a solid outing for him tonight against a Cubs team that is just #19 in the league versus LH pitchers this season and who has been hitting a poor .184 against LH pitchers on their last 10 games. With Samardzija struggling and De La Rosa having a nice outing, I believe Colorado will pick up an easy win tonight. So, I'll be taking them in here on a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 962 Colorado Rockies RL -1 (w/ J. De La Rosa) @ -107 / 1.94 on 5Dimes

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