Thursday, July 25, 2013

WNBA Free Premium Play 07/25: New York Liberty @ San Antonio Silver Stars

WNBA - 653 New York Liberty @ 654 San Antonio Silver Stars

Projected Line: 144 points

This is a bad spot for the Liberty with just 1 day of rest and then a travel between Indiana and San Antonio to play an early game today. Both teams have been struggling on offense lately. The Liberty is coming from a huge win at Indiana, where they had a great second half. The key for this game was Cappie Pondexter, who had an incredible game with 8-16 FG, 5-5 FT, 24 points and 4 assists. The problem for today's game is that Pondexter played 38 minutes in that game and so, she's likely to be still tired today. New York doesn't have a post game who can pound San Antonio's poor and undersized interior defense, so Cappie will need to carry the team's offense on her own again and this should be problematic for the Liberty.

On the other side, if the Silver Stars were already shorthanded, they are even worse now without Milton-Jones. San Antonio's offensive threats are in the backcourt on the guards Adams and Perkins, two one-dimensional players, who will make the Liberty have a similar defensive approach on this game. This will be a jump shooting game and with the Liberty being #4 in the league on 3pts defense with 31% 3pts allowed and San Antonio #6 with 31.9% 3pts, I expect this game to be a poor low-scoring affair and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 653/654 Under 147,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline

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