WNBA - 603 Washington Mystics @ 604 San Antonio Silver Stars
Projected Line: pk line
Washington is a poor matchup for San Antonio due to their size edge down low. They have Monique Currie, Crystal Longhorne and Michelle Snow in the frontcourt and therefore the Mystics will have a clear edge down low against the Silver Stars, who use a 3-guards lineup. This is why San Antonio is dead last in the league in points in the paint allowed per game with 39.7 ppg, having allowed 44.6 points in the paint per game on their last seven contests! The Silver Stats are coming from a nice win at Phoenix, but they were lucky that Brittney Griner didn't play due to injury, so Phoenix didn't have anybody available to pound the Silver Stars in the paint in that game.
The Mystics with their new coach are improving fast and despite they lost their last three games against Phoenix, Atlanta and Chicago, they were competitive in all these games where they faced very tough opposition. They know how to feed the ball to their big players and so, they averaged 34.7 points in the paint per game on their last six contests, while they had just average 26.9 ppg in the paint on their first seven games of the season.
San Antonio is a jump shooting team by being #4 in the league in 3pts attempts, but they are just #9 in efficiency with 32.3% 3pts. Washington's perimeter defense has been amazing as of late by allowing just 20-72 (27.7%) 3pts on their last three games, so I expect them to shut down the Silver Stars' offense tonight. I believe the Mystics will do a nice defensive job tonight, while pounding the undersized Silver Stars down low in here, so I'll be taking Washington tonight.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 603 Washington Mystics (+3) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
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