Tuesday, July 30, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/29: Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres

MLB - 959 Cincinnati Reds @ 960 San Diego Padres

(Starting Pitchers: M. Leake vs S. O'Sullivan)

Cincinnati's offense was horrible this weekend with .086, .069 and .188 BA on their last three games! They'll start Mike Leake tonight, a SP that is currently on my fade alert list. I faded him on his last start at San Francisco, in a game where the Giants were only able to score one run against Leake, even though they had 12 hits and 2 walks! Leake may have a 2.79 ERA, but his 4.10 FIP shows that he is ready to regress at any point now. San Diego's offense is #7 in the league over the last 14 days, so they are in good form and they should be able to cause problems to Leake tonight.

Sean O'Sullivan allowed just three runs (two earned) over 6.1 innings against the Brewers last Wednesday. He allowed two earned runs in each of his two starts and he has been decent until now. Also with the Reds' lineup slumping, O'Sullivan should be able to have another decent outing today. I believe San Diego is currently in better form than Cincinnati, so I expect them to make this game competitive. So, I'll be taking the Padres tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 960 San Diego Padres RL +1 (w/ S. O'Sullivan) @ +100 / 2.00 on 5Dimes

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