Saturday, July 20, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/19: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants

MLB - 963 Arizona Diamondbacks @ 964 San Francisco Giants

(Starting Pitchers: I. Kennedy vs C. Gaudin)

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

Arizona has been winning some games lately, but always thanks to good pitching, as they had five games on their last seven where they hit below .200 BA, while on the other two they hit .200 and .250 BA! That was good enough to win three games out of four against Milwaukee, which is a terrible road team, but the truth is that Arizona's offense is #23 in the league over the last 14 days and #28 over the last 30 days! The Dbacks will face Chad Gaudin tonight, who has been excellent as SP for the Giants. He is 3-1 with a 2.39 ERA and 1.14 WHIP through 24 appearances (six starts) this season. Gaudin had just one bad start at Atlanta, where his tendency for fly ball pitching (38.8%) was explored by the Braves with two home runs. The good news for him is at San Francisco's park is pitcher-friendly and Arizona's lineup lacks the power of Atlanta's as well (Atlanta #5 on ISO with .162; Arizona is #25 with .134 ISO). Therefore, I expect a solid outing for Gaudin tonight.

On the other side, San Francisco's offense took advantage of their last series at San Diego to get some offensive groove by hitting .308, .395 and .270 BA in three of the four games of the series. They will face Ian Kennedy tonight, a pitcher who has been struggling a lot with his command lately, with a combined 18/11 K/BB ratio on his last four outings! Normally the All Star break is used for the players to slow down, but Kennedy will start tonight with a regular rest, as his last start was last Sunday! So, we have San Francisco fired up to recover some grain on the NL West and with their current best SP on the mount, so I expect them to pound the struggling Kennedy tonight and pick up a comfortable win in here. I'll be taking San Francisco in here on a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 964 San Francisco Giants ML (w/ C. Gaudin) @ -121 / 1.83 on Betonline

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