MLB - 921 Cleveland Indians @ 922 Minnesota Twins
(Starting Pitchers: C. Kluber vs K. Correia)
***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***
Cleveland will start Corey Kluber tonight, one of the most underrated pitchers in the league. His 3.88 ERA doesn't impress that much, but his 3.50 FIP, 3.04 xFIP and 3.22 SIERA show that he is a top pitcher. He had a bunch of starts where he struggled, especially at Kansas City, but the truth is that he has been having a tough schedule lately and dominated, especially on his last two outings prior to the All Star break. Not only he dominated Detroit with two earned runs allowed in 6.1 innings, as he got revenge from Kansas City with no runs allowed in 7.2 innings! He had 7 days off to prepare tonight's game and I can only expect another good outing for Kluber tonight.
On the other side, Minnesota will start Kevin Correia in here and I can say that he is on fade alert mode right now. His command has been horrible with 6/5, 3/3, 3/3 and 2/2 K/BB ratio on his last four outings and this is a huge problem against a Cleveland, a team that is #3 on the league in BB% with 9.3% this season, while they are even #1 in the league with 10.8% BB% over the last 30 games! If that wasn't enough, Correia struggles a lot against LH batters with .302 BA and .357 wOBA allowed! As usual, Cleveland will present a lineup full of LH batters tonight:
1. Michael Bourn (L) CF
2. Asdrubal Cabrera (S) SS
3. Jason Kipnis (L) 2B
4. Nick Swisher (S) RF
5. Michael Brantley (L) LF
6. Carlos Santana (S) C
7. Jason Giambi (L) DH
8. Mark Reynolds (R) 1B
9. Lonnie Chisenhall (L) 3B
That's eight guys hitting from the left side! With Correia walking so many batters and then being so hittable against LH batters, it's not a surprise that one of his worst starts of the season was against Cleveland, with 7.20 ERA, 8.45 FIP and 5.50 xFIP! With Kluber looking good on the other side, we can only expect an easy win for Cleveland tonight with such a SP edge! Therefore, I'll be taking the Indians in here in a Double Dime Play!
Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 921 Cleveland Indians ML (w/ C. Kluber) @ -123 / 1.81 on 5Dimes
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