(Starting Pitchers: Z. Greinke vs G. Gonzalez)
Washington lost last night's game because of their lack of efficiency, as they went 1-9 on RISP against Ricky Nolasco yesterday. I believe that the Nationals are being underrated in tonight's game, as the pitching duel is very favorable to them. Zack Greinke will start for the Dodgers in here and he is being very inconsistent this season, while being really subpar on the road with a 5.03 ERA, 4.12 FIP and 4.45 xFIP! However, the truth is that Greinke had two super outings on his last two games with no runs allowed in seven innings at Arizona and in a complete game against Colorado. These were definitely good performances, but let's not forget that both Arizona and Colorado are currently #28 and #30 in offense over the past 14 games! Therefore, I believe the Nationals will eventually put Greinke in some trouble tonight.
On the other hand, Gio Gonzalez has been very solid lately. He is allowing just .205 BA this season and so, it's very hard to create big damage against him, even though his command lets him down at times. His worst starts of the season were connected to a high number of walks, but even though the Dodgers are hitting well right now, the truth is that they don't have a patient lineup with a 7.5% BB% (#22) over the last 14 games and 5.9% BB% (#23) over the last 7 games! Therefore, Gio Gonzalez has in the Dodgers a great matchup and so, he should dominate tonight. I expect a bounce back game for the Nationals in here, with the solid pitching of Gio Gonzalez leading the way. Therefore, I'll be taking Washington tonight.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 906 Washington Nationals ML (w/ G. Gonzalez) @ -132 / 1.76 on Bookmaker
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