MLB - 925 Baltimore Orioles @ 926 Kansas City Royals
(Starting Pitchers: W. Chen vs E. Santana)
Baltimore's offense is a top team (#5) versus RH pitchers, but they are just #22 against LH pitchers. The good news is that they will face a RH pitchers tonight and they are hitting .306 BA against RH pitchers on their last 10 games! They will face Erwin Santana tonight, who, after three subpar starts, bounced back and dominated the Tigers with a stellar 7.1 shutout innings. However, the Orioles' offense is possibly the worst matchup possible for him. Santana struggles against home runs and his 12.4% HR/FB rate is mediocre and these are terrible news for him against the team that is #1 on ISO power with .179! Therefore, I expect Santana to struggle tonight.
Baltimore will start Wei-Yin Chen, who dominated the Rangers on his return from the DL. It's also tough to dominate teams on back to back spots, but the truth is that Chen faced Texas twice in a row and dominated them in both games! Kansas City's offense is struggling against LH pitchers with a subpar .203 BA on their last 10 games against LH pitchers, so I expect Chen to have another good outing tonight. With such SP and offensive edges in here for Baltimore, I believe they will win tonight's game.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 925 Baltimore Orioles ML (w/ W. Chen) @ -105 / 1.95 on 5Dimes
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