Friday, July 12, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/11: San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres

MLB - 959 San Francisco Giants @ 960 San Diego Padres

(Starting Pitchers: M. Bumgarner vs J. Marquis)

Both teams are currently struggling with San Francisco being 2-8 on their last 10 games, while San Diego is 1-9 on their last 10 games. Therefore, this is an important series for both teams. The Giants will start Madison Bumgarner tonight, who held the Dodgers to two runs in seven innings last Saturday. Just the fact that he dominated the super red hot Dodgers shows how well Bumgarner is pitching right now. He has allowed just 2, 1, 2, 2 and 0 earned runs on his last five outings and even though he has been walking some batters here and there, the truth is that Bumgarner is being very impressive lately. San Diego's offense is hitting .228 BA versus LH pitchers on their last 10 games and the truth is that Bumgarner has dominated the Padres twice this season by allowing two earned runs on each game, while striking out 8 and 10 batters in the process. 

San Diego will start Jason Marquis, who allowed three earned runs on his last outing at Washington. Marquis keeps having some horrible advanced numbers and according to my rankings, I have Marquis as #150 in a total of 153 qualified pitchers! The best that can happen to a struggling team like San Francisco is to face a pitcher with poor command and this is exactly what the Giants will have in here. With the help of an in-form Bumgarner, I expect San Francisco to pick up a comfortable win tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 959 San Francisco Giants ML (w/ M. Bumgarner) @ -129 / 1.78 on Bovada

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