Monday, July 29, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/28: Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers

MLB - 929 Philadelphia Phillies @ 930 Detroit Tigers

(Starting Pitchers: J. Pettibone vs R. Porcello)

Rick Porcello will start for Detroit today and he is coming from allowing no runs over seven innings against the White Sox last Tuesday. He has been insanely good in July with a 1.35 ERA, well supported by a 3.14 FIP and 3.54 xFIP! He dominated the White Sox twice in a row and before that, he had also dominated the tough Rays and Indians! After some struggles earlier in the season, Porcello made some great adjustments and he will now have a favorable matchup against the Phillies, as Porcello only struggles against LH batters (.304 BA and .338 wOBA), but the Phillies will only have Jimmy Rollins and Chase Utley as decent LH batters in the lineup today:

1. Jimmy Rollins (S) SS
2. Michael Young (R) 3B
3. Chase Utley (L) DH
4. Darin Ruf (R) 1B
5. Kevin Frandsen (R) 2B
6. John Mayberry (R) CF
7. Laynce Nix (L) RF
8. Carlos Ruiz (R) C
9. Steve Susdorf (L) LF

Besides that, Philadelphia's offense is currently struggling badly by being #29 in the league over the past week, so Porcello has every condition to another great outing in here. On the other side, Jonathan Pettibone is coming from three runs allowed against St Louis last Tuesday. Pettibone has been overall decent, but he has some red flags as well. He is too hittable with a .270 BA and he also had some poor control lately, with 3, 4, 1 and 3 walks over his last four outings. Detroit's offense is #1 in the league on hitting with .279 BA and if Pettibone starts walking batters today, he will be quickly pounded in here. Therefore, I expect another easy win for the Tigers today and so, I'll be taking them on the runline in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 930 Detroit Tigers RL -1.5 (w/ R. Porcello) @ -120 / 1.83 on Bookmaker

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