Thursday, July 25, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/24: Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks

MLB - 911 Chicago Cubs @ 912 Arizona Diamondbacks

(Starting Pitchers: J. Samardzija vs I. Kennedy)

We have a huge pitching edge for the Cubs on this matchup. Jeff Samardzija used the extra rest on the All Star break to make some mechanic tweaks on his pitches and he owned Colorado on his first start of the second half of the season. He allowed just one earned run in 7.1 innings, with six strikeouts and ten groundballs. Arizona had a big offensive night yesterday, but they are a below average offense right now by being #24 in the league over the last 14 days and #26 over the last month.

On the other side, Ian Kennedy is on fade alert right now. I successfully faded him on his last outing at San Francisco and even though he allowed just two earned runs in that game, his command was poor with a 3/3 K/BB ratio. This problem with his command has been recurrent and I believe the Cubs with their young kids on the rotation will pound him today, as the Cubs are hitting .352 wOBA on their last 7 games (#5 in the league)! I believe the Cubs will be competitive tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 911 Chicago Cubs RL +1 (w/ J. Samardzija) @ -127 / 1.79 on 5Dimes

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