(Starting Pitchers: T. Hudson vs J. Hefner)
This is a nice bounce back spot for Atlanta on a favorable matchup. They will face Jeremy Hefner tonight, who was on a nice streak, until he got pounded on his first start after the All-Star break, where he pitched for just two innings against Philadelphia with eight earned runs allowed. Hefner has some issues with home runs with a 11.6% HR/FB rate and I believe Atlanta's power lineup will cause him problems in here. Hefner struggles versus LH batters (.377 wOBA, 5.79 FIP and 4.87 xFIP) and so, Heyward, Freeman and McCain are likely to make Hefner struggle tonight.
On the other hand, Atlanta will start Tim Hudson tonight, who has been struggling here and there, but he has been consistent lately. Hudson is coming from three great outings (2.77, 2.48 and 1.90 FIP L3 starts), including a dominating outing against Philadelphia with just one earned run allowed in seven innings. I believe Atlanta will have a pitching, hitting and spot edge tonight over the Mets, so I'll be taking the Braves in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 903 Atlanta Braves ML (w/ T. Hudson) @ -135 / 1.74 on Betonline
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