Monday, July 15, 2013

WNBA Premium Play 07/14: San Antonio Silver Stars @ Connecticut Sun

WNBA - 601 San Antonio Silver Stars @ 602 Connecticut Sun

Projected Line: 159 points

*NOTE: Bovada has a 154 points line, but I know that some sportsbooks have higher totals line. I would take the Over in here until a 156 points line!*

We can expect a fast paced game between these two teams, but they both play undersized featuring some small ball lineups. Connecticut has been struggling a lot on offense due to the injuries of their guards. Tina Charles keeps dominating, but without a consistent outside shooting, the Sun can't produce offense. But for today's game, not only Tina Charles will completely dominate San Antonio's undersized frontcourt, as Kara Lawson returned on the team's last game against Chicago and she's the team's best SG. The Sun's offense is much more efficient at home and today against the #3 worst defensive team in the league, I expect Connecticut to have a nice offensive game. On the other side, Connecticut's defense struggled a lot on their last two games on 3pts defense with 10-23 (43%) 3pts and San Antonio is one of the most unselfish teams in the league. We have in here a 154 points line, when my projected line is 159 points, so I see good value in here to take the Over.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 601/602 Over 154 @ -115 / 1.87 on Bovada

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